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Paul Johnson

@paulrjohnson.net

Data Scientist interested in causal inference, machine learning, and statistics | He/Him Website: https://paulrjohnson.net Github: https://github.com/paulj1989

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Latest posts by Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net

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07.03.2026 01:18 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

what a world

03.03.2026 18:50 πŸ‘ 98 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 4
Preview
a group of soldiers are standing in a row wearing helmets and armor . Alt: A group of soldiers are standing in a row, one turns to the camera and says "I'm doing my part".
03.03.2026 19:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

A long time ago, I used to know a lot about foreign-imposed regime change (FIRC) and study them.

I guess that makes me qualified to write a thread about them, especially in wake of Trump bombing Iran.

So here goes nothing. 🧡

28.02.2026 20:06 πŸ‘ 780 πŸ” 305 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 105
Preview
Labour must not bind Britain's fate to the failing electoral system - Politics.co.uk It’s fair to say that British democracy is in ill health. Labour has inherited rock bottom public trust in politics and a state wracked by austerity. We are working to show that government can deliver...

Good to see this excellent intervention from Labour MPs Becky Cooper and Tim Roca - rightly focusing on the immediate democratic risks created by FPTP, and highlighting the @appgfairelections.bsky.social's proposal for a National Commission as the way forward

02.03.2026 12:11 πŸ‘ 45 πŸ” 24 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

The attack line on Green Drugs Policy by Reform entirely echoed and exaggerated by David Blunkett on #bbcaq

Wherever you stand on drugs and legalisation, this country needs a grown-up debate on this complex subject rather than this dismissive stuff about "Polanski wanting to legalise crack".

28.02.2026 14:00 πŸ‘ 493 πŸ” 76 πŸ’¬ 42 πŸ“Œ 3
Two small dogs laying on a mountain of blankets together.

Two small dogs laying on a mountain of blankets together.

Speaking of which

28.02.2026 08:57 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

There are no good guys

28.02.2026 08:55 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Hey, my friends saw you at the Woke Progressive and Sectarian Islamist Convention and they said you were telling everyone how to vote

27.02.2026 10:44 πŸ‘ 231 πŸ” 27 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 2

Oh, to be clear, I meant that the system is likely irreparable in that I don't think in its current state we will be able to walk back this fragmentation and disproportionality. Totally agree that the solutions are right in front of us. We are long overdue electoral reform!

27.02.2026 13:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

If Goodwin had sat on the stage and peed his pants he'd have left with more dignity than this

27.02.2026 07:20 πŸ‘ 254 πŸ” 46 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 6

Yeah the electoral system is broken in potentially irreparable ways and that is making things a lot more chaotic, but otherwise I don't think we're that much of an outlier.

27.02.2026 12:46 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Goodwin's petulance is hilarious, but it's also a warning that, for the far-right, they have no abiding commitment to democracy and value it only to the extent to which it allows them to attain power.

If *we* value democracy, we must take the warning.

27.02.2026 08:42 πŸ‘ 78 πŸ” 27 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Charlotte embodies the new Conservative Party (she's a fucking loser)

27.02.2026 12:30 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I keep thinking of @dylandifford.bsky.social's point that everything wrong with the McSweeney-Starmer governing strategy was obvious to anyone who had done the most basic and broad of first year political science.

27.02.2026 05:42 πŸ‘ 398 πŸ” 54 πŸ’¬ 17 πŸ“Œ 7

It’s a running joke in academia that Matt Goodwin is bad at maths.

This sort of thing is why: the combined Labour/Green vote could have split in any way possible and Goodwin would have finished 2nd or 3rd. He did not lose because progressives coordinated. He lost *in spite of them not doing so*.

27.02.2026 09:26 πŸ‘ 900 πŸ” 245 πŸ’¬ 33 πŸ“Œ 7

My timeline is almost entirely Matt Goodwin hate right now. Smashing that repost button like I'm trying to give myself RSI.

27.02.2026 11:27 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Matt Goodwin, a man so personally repellant he reversed the creeping wave of fascism sweeping the globe.

27.02.2026 07:23 πŸ‘ 356 πŸ” 61 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 2

You think that’s funny do you. Well right this moment Matt Goodwin’s sitting at home eating his book again

27.02.2026 07:22 πŸ‘ 107 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
leo laughing

leo laughing

me since 5am

27.02.2026 10:22 πŸ‘ 676 πŸ” 43 πŸ’¬ 20 πŸ“Œ 1

MATTHEW BADLOSS IS IT

27.02.2026 08:00 πŸ‘ 997 πŸ” 133 πŸ’¬ 20 πŸ“Œ 11

matt goodwin *will* see your jokes about him and they will gnaw away at what’s left of his soul forever and ever and ever

27.02.2026 07:26 πŸ‘ 765 πŸ” 108 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 0

The Gorton and Denton result is fantastic for several reasons, but easily the funniest one is that the Tories got so few votes that they LOST THEIR DEPOSIT.

27.02.2026 06:46 πŸ‘ 928 πŸ” 194 πŸ’¬ 13 πŸ“Œ 9

Eat shit Matt Goodwin

27.02.2026 10:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I was at the count in Gorton and Denton last night and we all saw Matt Goodwin eat ballot papers. His girlfriend and team begged him to stop but he kept stuffing it into his mouth and making grunting sounds like the Cookie Monster

27.02.2026 10:24 πŸ‘ 1082 πŸ” 198 πŸ’¬ 24 πŸ“Œ 12

why do nerds
suddenly appear
every time
I post here

25.02.2026 19:45 πŸ‘ 3408 πŸ” 416 πŸ’¬ 130 πŸ“Œ 26

Like you, my starting assumption is it must be catastrophic levels of incompetence, instead of malice, but it's pretty fucking galling that an already challenging situation for all three (and others) has been made infinitely worse by completely avoidable fuck-ups.

25.02.2026 19:06 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Didn't think it was possible to hate Rupert Lowe more than everyone in Southampton did when he owned the club. Turns out we were only scratching the surface.

25.02.2026 10:53 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Irish Independent: Man stole three coffee machines in a week from Monaghan department store.

Irish Independent: Man stole three coffee machines in a week from Monaghan department store.

How does he sleep at night?

25.02.2026 09:14 πŸ‘ 3600 πŸ” 605 πŸ’¬ 98 πŸ“Œ 53
Hat embroidered with β€œhello, i am fleeing the American century of humillation. Can you show me where to buy Mountain Dew Baja Blast?”

Hat embroidered with β€œhello, i am fleeing the American century of humillation. Can you show me where to buy Mountain Dew Baja Blast?”

25.02.2026 02:29 πŸ‘ 9075 πŸ” 1758 πŸ’¬ 45 πŸ“Œ 62