Victoria Guida

Trump Keeps Gambling With the Economy — And Getting Away With It President Donald Trump has taken one risk after another that could have destabilized the American economy. Iran is the latest crisis to test U.S. economic resilience.

I think we are finally seeing the limits of this gambling as described in this @vtg2.bsky.social piece from earlier. www.politico.com/news/magazin...

Trump Keeps Gambling With the Economy — And Getting Away With It President Donald Trump has taken one risk after another that could have destabilized the American economy. Iran is the latest crisis to test U.S. economic resilience.

President Trump’s disruptive policies have left some dents, including serious damage to his approval rating, but by the biggest readings of its health, the U.S. economy largely keeps absorbing what he throws at it.

My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...

Who pays the tariffs? Voters will soon find out The tariffs have proved unpopular in polling, so more attention on them might mean more electoral losses for Republicans in November.

The process and legal fights over paying back import taxes will help shove tariffs back into voters’ minds, as well as provide them an excruciatingly detailed civics lesson in who literally pays the levies. (Hint: it’s not foreign governments.)
www.politico.com/newsletters/...

Thank you so much for saying that!

Hassett says Fed staff should be 'disciplined' for reporting the US pays tariff costs The Trump economic adviser called it “the worst paper I’ve ever seen in the history of the Federal Reserve System.”

Hassett says Fed staff should be 'disciplined' for reporting the US pays tariff costs

Thanks, Jim!

Thanks, Julia. It’s definitely people like you who are the draw to make me keep coming back here

It’s also hard because I spent so many years building trust with my followers on Twitter. Here I feel like a stranger

It just makes me so sad! Journalists should be accessible. We represent our readers, and I don’t like blocking and muting on principle

This is an extremely honest answer, and nothing but respect to this person for telling it like it is.

But…. 🙃

Yes, I’ve found Bluesky to have a much higher proportion of vicious responses (not just to me but in general) that also makes me hesitant to post here

Is it way too early to speculate about AOC's foreign/trade policy as president? Yes!

Is it fun to do it anyway? Absolutely!

Based on her remarks in Europe, I took a shot at it.

And even if you don't care what I had to say, you may still like the partial transcript I provided at the end.

Trump wants the Fed to cut rates. Kevin Warsh has bigger plans. Any turbulence that pushes up longer-term rates would clash with the president’s goal of cutting borrowing costs for the government and lowering mortgage rates.

Trump wants the Fed to cut rates. Kevin Warsh has bigger plans.

Trump wants the Fed to cut rates. Kevin Warsh has bigger plans. Any turbulence that pushes up longer-term rates would clash with the president’s goal of cutting borrowing costs for the government and lowering mortgage rates.

For more than a decade, Kevin Warsh has advocated reining in the Fed’s pivotal role in the nation’s financial markets.

Now, he may finally get the chance to do it. And Wall Street is obsessed with finding out what comes next.

w/ @samjsutton.bsky.social
www.politico.com/news/2026/02...

Bitcoin slides below $70,000 as silver drops 10%:
There is a palpable sense of forced deleveraging and margin calls rippling through the more speculative corners of the financial system.
#bitcoin #gold #markets

What Does Trump’s Next Fed Chief Really Believe? A childhood job at a racetrack taught Kevin Warsh more than he realized about how to amass power. If he’s confirmed as Fed chair, he’ll have to place his riskiest bet yet.

The odds seem stacked against Kevin Warsh, but the carefully crafted career path he has traveled up to this point suggests he is perhaps uniquely situated to pull off being Trump’s Fed chair

A portrait of him, by me & the very talented @ianwardreports.bsky.social
www.politico.com/news/magazin...

Shorter Powell: the economy looks more boring and so we want to be boring too. Please, for the love of god, let us be boring.

Shutdown risk grows as Democrats revolt after Minneapolis shooting

‘Fundamental reset’: Scott Bessent has a plan to free the nation’s banks The speed of the deregulation is sparking concern that the Treasury secretary is putting Wall Street’s interests ahead of the stability of the financial system.

Treasury Secretary Bessent is redefining the relationship between the administration and federal regulators, which have long enjoyed significant autonomy in supervising banks.

Up next: overhauling the post-2008 crisis rulebook
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...

NEW: The Supreme Court appeared skeptical about Trump's rush to remove Lisa Cook from the Fed Board, suggesting there might be limits to his power to fire her "for cause" without a review of the allegations against her
w/ @joshgerstein.bsky.social @vtg2.bsky.social

www.politico.com/news/2026/01...

President Trump is taking his feud with the Fed to the next level as his DOJ launches a criminal investigation into chairman Jerome Powell. @vtg2.bsky.social and Ankush Khardori weigh in on the latest developments.

Can This Man Save the Federal Reserve? Christopher Waller probably won’t be the next Fed chair. Trump’s agenda at the central bank may still depend on him.

Meet the man who is likely to be one of the most important forces within the central bank no matter who the next Fed chief is.

My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...

"A reading of the public record suggests the kind of things we’re talking about here is whether Powell lied when he said there were “no rooftop gardens” when there will in fact be “vegetated roof spaces,” according to documents the Fed submitted to the National Capital Planning Commission."

Why Powell Isn't Flinching At Trump's Attack If markets really think the Fed is going to base policy on the president's whims rather than what’s best for the economy, it could cause a financial bloodbath.

Four takeaways from the administration’s investigation of Jay Powell.

My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...

DOJ opens probe into Fed's Powell, drawing backlash from lawmakers The move is a sharp escalation of Trump’s clash with the Fed chief, who he has pushed to lower interest rates.

“History tells us that when the independence of the central bank is compromised, bad things happen. It’s very worrisome.”

www.politico.com/news/2026/01...

DOJ opens probe into Fed's Powell, drawing backlash from lawmakers The move is a sharp escalation of Trump’s clash with the Fed chief, who he has pushed to lower interest rates.

JUST IN: Senate Finance Committee member Thom Tillis (R-SC) threatens to block Fed nominations over DOJ's Powell probe. DOJ says US Attorneys have been told to "prioritize investigating any abuse of taxpayer dollars." w/@vtg2 @meredithllee @samjsutton www.politico.com/news/2026/01...

Do you think a credit card cap would tank the bond market?

You are strangely confident as a human who presumably lived through 2025

Btw, whatever happens Jan. 20, the White House is being explicit about what President Trump is promising