Trump had already established his ideological undertone during his 2017 Warsaw speech, which warned of a West “under siege”. Now Trump’s plan to transform Europe in his image is well underway, writes @cwherrmann.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/45zTvLd
"But Western civilisation is not Trump’s to define and Europeans are not obliged to follow his lead...Europe needs to once again assert itself as a player on the world stage."
"Trump’s two complementary ideological threads—on one side the Roman Empire, on the other “Judeo-Christian” values—serve to drive the second Trump administration’s views: liberalism is a disease, with tradition its cure; and Europe is a supranational adversary to be conquered."
"The Trump administration is drawing on Roman Empire imagery, and Trump’s own version of Christianity, to reinforce its perception of Western values and impose conditional bilateral partnerships."
Read my latest piece for @ecfr.eu
ecfr.eu/article/trum...
Uh oh. Peter Navarro must have had an early morning at the White House.
Make sure to read @tobiasgehrke.bsky.social on the cards that Europe has in this game of high stakes hold 'em. (link in thread)
Read the full analysis and see a breakdown of Trump's threats of use of force and his actual uses of force here: ecfr.eu/article/the-...
3/"These cases reveal a bully’s logic: Trump was willing to say nearly anything to establish dominance or deterrence, but he was unwilling to act when the consequences could involve a major war, especially with a nuclear or near-nuclear power."
2/"Trump uses threats and force much like a playground bully: while large and outwardly powerful, he actually fears the use of force in any situation even vaguely resembling a fair fight."
1/Over two presidential terms, Donald Trump has used threats to intimidate his adversaries and mostly only employed force against his weaker victims. This pattern of bullying provides an insight into his future decision-making. @jyshapiro.bsky.social @ecfr.eu
"America is not looking to make the world safe for democracy, protect Ukrainian sovereignty or seek a new transatlantic balance in providing for European security. It is pursuing an aura of peace and a new deal with Russia."
Read our new piece here for @ecfr.eu: ecfr.eu/article/the-...
New video out! @jyshapiro.bsky.social joined Johnny Harris to talk about proxy wars and what makes the war in Ukraine different.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=DqJn...
Listen to @jyshapiro.bsky.social on the most recent episode of Pod Save the World
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
The Europeans do indeed hold cards when it comes to the US and the Trump Administration. @tobiasgehrke.bsky.social digs in to explain what they are and how effective they might be if played in the coming months in his new brief. Read it here and share your thoughts! @ecfr.eu ecfr.eu/publication/...
Jamieson Greer is set to be confirmed today as Trump's USTR. Read Majda Ruge's latest piece that details what he will bring to the US-EU trade relationship. @ecfr.eu
ecfr.eu/article/faci...
"Trump has shifted the US government from a technocratic policy process to a factional policy process... It is by design opaque, redundant, and contradictory. But elections have consequences, and this is one of them." @jyshapiro.bsky.social
blueblaze.substack.com/p/how-the-tr...
"Europeans need to stop asking why the Americans cut them out and demonstrate that they need to be cut in. They need to show not just that they have assets, but that they can strategically deploy (or withhold) them as part of a negotiation." - @jyshapiro.bsky.social
ecfr.eu/article/lett...
It’s not just that the salute was so obviously Nazi. It’s that everything we know about Elon suggests he would do something like this www.vox.com/politics/396...
"Trump makes a tremendous number of forceful threats and executes very little of them. Largely, he is a Chickenhawk. He is quite afraid of war and quite proud of the fact that he hasn't committed the US to wars."
- @jyshapiro.bsky.social on Decoding Geopolitics www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNRj...
Looks great! Excited to read it soon
We definitely do, but these aren't forest fires
The insanity of being a fire ecologist in the epicenter of a major fire event, bags packed and ready to evacuate, watching active fire from my window, while taking media requests and explaining to the public, for the 100,000th time how climate change is largely responsible for this
Oh what could have been. We reap what we sow.
The Gaetz controversy has made Trump’s other cabinet picks, who would normally be nonstarters, seem less extreme. I doubt that this was the intention, but the effect is Gaetz is now the sacrificial lamb that might hold the door open for Gabbard, Hegseth, and RFK Jr. who look palatable in comparison
What do we have in store over the next four years? Is the "Orbanisation of America" around the corner?
Read @jyshapiro.bsky.social and @veghzsuzsanna.bsky.social and you will begin to notice the eerie similarities.
ecfr.eu/publication/...
A bit shocked that anyone is rooting for this type of austerity in the US... A poverty rate above 50% is unconscionable outside of the Twitterverse
www.reuters.com/world/americ...
The combination of primacists, prioritisers, and restrainers that Trump selects for key foreign policy roles in his cabinet illustrates the battle for Trump's mind ahead of his inauguration in January. Read Majda Ruge's new piece for
@ecfr.bsky.social here: ecfr.eu/article/up-c...
We are live.
