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Matt Pearce

@mattdpearce.com

May the forces of evil become confused on the way to your house. Opinions are my own (but they are correct) https://mattdpearce.substack.com

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15.05.2023
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Latest posts by Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com

Unfortunately, “Yo brother, legal team confirmed we can’t work with minors rn” is an instant classic

06.03.2026 13:38 👍 5958 🔁 1388 💬 68 📌 28
Kalshi employees "kind of understand that without the tweets and the streamers and all of the social-media stuff that the traders do for them, usually just for free, their marketing would be a lot harder," said Jack Campion, 20, a junior at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and a Kalshi affiliate.
In September, Kalshi briefly signed up a 15-year-old videogame streamer who goes by vertid online to promote its brand on X as an affiliate.
A week later, Kalshi ended the partnership.
"Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn," a Kalshi employee wrote to the user in messages reviewed by the Journal. "Kinda sad tbh."

Kalshi employees "kind of understand that without the tweets and the streamers and all of the social-media stuff that the traders do for them, usually just for free, their marketing would be a lot harder," said Jack Campion, 20, a junior at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and a Kalshi affiliate. In September, Kalshi briefly signed up a 15-year-old videogame streamer who goes by vertid online to promote its brand on X as an affiliate. A week later, Kalshi ended the partnership. "Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn," a Kalshi employee wrote to the user in messages reviewed by the Journal. "Kinda sad tbh."

what the fuck are we doing

www.wsj.com/business/med...

06.03.2026 06:12 👍 3162 🔁 656 💬 83 📌 174

Personal news update: I'm delighted to announce that as of today, I am an actual Bluesky employee! I'll be working to welcome indie media and local govt to Bsky—and supporting those already here.

I'll always want to hear your thoughts on how we can make Bsky the sort of social media we all want!

02.03.2026 22:10 👍 6841 🔁 584 💬 550 📌 83
Preview
Real wars, imagined communities Iran and Benedict Anderson’s “Imagined Communities” in the 21st century.

Reading Benedict Anderson’s “Imagined Communities” during the war with Iran.

mattdpearce.substack.com/p/real-wars-...

01.03.2026 23:52 👍 28 🔁 5 💬 2 📌 1
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Shingle Diggins Family Restaurant
Coloma, MI

03.03.2026 01:15 👍 639 🔁 106 💬 13 📌 38

Very nice, timely reflection on this book, which I also just finished. Ideas that stuck with me include:
- Colonies as hotbeds of nation formation
- Print capitalism and language as national glue
- Potential of historians to act as bad necromancers, conjuring intentions the dead couldn't have had

02.03.2026 14:20 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
02.03.2026 15:15 👍 18 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1

He packed a ton in there! I was dogearing pages all over the place.

02.03.2026 14:23 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Real wars, imagined communities Iran and Benedict Anderson’s “Imagined Communities” in the 21st century.

Reading Benedict Anderson’s “Imagined Communities” during the war with Iran.

mattdpearce.substack.com/p/real-wars-...

01.03.2026 23:52 👍 28 🔁 5 💬 2 📌 1

I enjoy Bluesky & a lot of my favorite internet people are here but there is no denying it is the Park Slope Food Coop of social networks

01.03.2026 12:35 👍 612 🔁 49 💬 62 📌 32
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Joe Dante and Hideo Kojima are close seconds but no director was more right about the future of war than Barry Levinson with the 1992 box office flop Toys.

28.02.2026 03:28 👍 2782 🔁 784 💬 57 📌 87

People are always like what’s something you miss from the past and one of mine is antitrust laws

26.02.2026 23:06 👍 13117 🔁 3034 💬 52 📌 49
Preview
Netflix Drops Warner Bros. Offer, Leaving Paramount the Winner Netflix Inc. dropped out of the fight to buy Warner Bros. Discovery Inc., clearing the way for rival bidder Paramount Skydance Corp. to clinch its $111 billion deal for the historic Hollywood studio.

So I guess Bari is gonna run CNN now too, huh.

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

26.02.2026 23:10 👍 46 🔁 8 💬 5 📌 2

Tired: Let's remember some guys
Wired: Let's arrest some guys
Inspired: Let's salt the fields of some guys so that nothing ever grows there again

23.02.2026 20:58 👍 42 🔁 12 💬 0 📌 0

Why hasnt the us arrested any Guys yet

23.02.2026 20:51 👍 41 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0

Arresting Some Guys seems sensible and good.

23.02.2026 19:00 👍 43 🔁 8 💬 1 📌 1
Preview
A guy being arrested Prince Andrew after Jeffrey Epstein.

Very interested in this British situation where they’re arresting some guys.

mattdpearce.substack.com/p/a-guy-bein...

23.02.2026 17:32 👍 66 🔁 10 💬 4 📌 5

If my east coast colleagues ask about the weather in LA right now I'm simply going to lie to them

23.02.2026 17:24 👍 275 🔁 15 💬 22 📌 6
I was especially sold on learning about the Andrew angle of the Epstein saga after brilliant Reuters photographer Phil Noble captured the King's brother slumping in the back seat of a car speeding out of a Norfolk police station, the old chap's expression frozen in classic tabloid rictus, caught like a raccoon on a trail cam halfway through pawing open the trash bin. "It was a proper old school news day, a guy being arrested," said Noble, displaying the exemplary English talent for understatement. Who could resist? Here was two of Britain's most successful cultural exports - the royal family and whodunit detective shows - packaged into a single product.

I was especially sold on learning about the Andrew angle of the Epstein saga after brilliant Reuters photographer Phil Noble captured the King's brother slumping in the back seat of a car speeding out of a Norfolk police station, the old chap's expression frozen in classic tabloid rictus, caught like a raccoon on a trail cam halfway through pawing open the trash bin. "It was a proper old school news day, a guy being arrested," said Noble, displaying the exemplary English talent for understatement. Who could resist? Here was two of Britain's most successful cultural exports - the royal family and whodunit detective shows - packaged into a single product.

I wrote about the arrestee formerly known as Prince Andrew.

mattdpearce.substack.com/p/a-guy-bein...

23.02.2026 00:08 👍 57 🔁 7 💬 2 📌 2

number one for me

23.02.2026 05:04 👍 1142 🔁 72 💬 4 📌 2

Thank you!

23.02.2026 03:49 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
23.02.2026 00:56 👍 30 🔁 5 💬 0 📌 0
I was especially sold on learning about the Andrew angle of the Epstein saga after brilliant Reuters photographer Phil Noble captured the King's brother slumping in the back seat of a car speeding out of a Norfolk police station, the old chap's expression frozen in classic tabloid rictus, caught like a raccoon on a trail cam halfway through pawing open the trash bin. "It was a proper old school news day, a guy being arrested," said Noble, displaying the exemplary English talent for understatement. Who could resist? Here was two of Britain's most successful cultural exports - the royal family and whodunit detective shows - packaged into a single product.

I was especially sold on learning about the Andrew angle of the Epstein saga after brilliant Reuters photographer Phil Noble captured the King's brother slumping in the back seat of a car speeding out of a Norfolk police station, the old chap's expression frozen in classic tabloid rictus, caught like a raccoon on a trail cam halfway through pawing open the trash bin. "It was a proper old school news day, a guy being arrested," said Noble, displaying the exemplary English talent for understatement. Who could resist? Here was two of Britain's most successful cultural exports - the royal family and whodunit detective shows - packaged into a single product.

I wrote about the arrestee formerly known as Prince Andrew.

mattdpearce.substack.com/p/a-guy-bein...

23.02.2026 00:08 👍 57 🔁 7 💬 2 📌 2
Canadian Tire store in Ottawa. giant red triangles everywhere

Canadian Tire store in Ottawa. giant red triangles everywhere

in Canada we have a store called "Canadian Tire" and you're probably thinking "a store named after a tire definitely has a circle for a logo" but no, you're wrong. they chose a colossal red triangle

22.02.2026 01:54 👍 3432 🔁 449 💬 247 📌 119
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👀The federal judges in West Virginia, where ICE has been pulling over and detaining people on the freeway, are literally screaming about ICE's tactics.

"It is an assault on the constitutional order," Judge Goodwin says. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

21.02.2026 00:27 👍 20351 🔁 7493 💬 451 📌 381

Will be fun to see what prices stay “passed along to consumers” once the tariffs are gone.

20.02.2026 15:46 👍 117 🔁 22 💬 3 📌 6
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Congrats to BART rider and Oakland legend Alysa Liu on winning a gold medal at the Olympics and making the Bay Area proud!

19.02.2026 22:21 👍 7607 🔁 1074 💬 47 📌 133

when replying on bluesky, remember that any word in the original post can be used as a springboard for incoherent free association

16.02.2026 17:53 👍 933 🔁 128 💬 29 📌 16
From a 2025 white paper by Felix Reichenbach and Martin Walther:
In this study, we use a dataset from the leading platform Polymarket that contains more than 124 million trades by nearly one million traders with a total volume of USD 48 billion. ... We find that fewer than 30% of traders earn positive net profits and that the distribution of profits and losses is highly skewed, which indicates that a large number of traders systematically lose money to a small minority of skilled participants.
If a significant majority of the people who wager lose money, that meets my definition of a losing game. Yet prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi will be a greater feature in our lives in 2026 than 2025, including through the growing financialization of the news people get.
This raises the pressing question for the news industry of whether the world benefits when candy gets taken from babies, and how long that arrangement can last.

From a 2025 white paper by Felix Reichenbach and Martin Walther: In this study, we use a dataset from the leading platform Polymarket that contains more than 124 million trades by nearly one million traders with a total volume of USD 48 billion. ... We find that fewer than 30% of traders earn positive net profits and that the distribution of profits and losses is highly skewed, which indicates that a large number of traders systematically lose money to a small minority of skilled participants. If a significant majority of the people who wager lose money, that meets my definition of a losing game. Yet prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi will be a greater feature in our lives in 2026 than 2025, including through the growing financialization of the news people get. This raises the pressing question for the news industry of whether the world benefits when candy gets taken from babies, and how long that arrangement can last.

On merging prediction markets with the news:

mattdpearce.substack.com/p/informatio...

19.02.2026 15:29 👍 19 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 1