Problem: both extremes intensify non-linear as ever more research shows. Especially, with heatwaves and drought compound events we have a massive signal now. With intensifying precipitation the signal much more difficult to measure, as reanalysis datasets have problems with extreme precipitation which they underestimate... The critical role of soil moisture in compound hazards (2026) Soil moisture regulates the exchange of energy, water, and carbon across land–vegetation–atmosphere interfaces. Extremes in soil moisture can amplify natural hazards through interactions with diverse Earth system processes. [...] We highlight key soil moisture mechanisms, including atmospheric feedbacks that amplify drought–heatwave–wildfire events, precipitation couplings that promote clustered storms, and threshold responses that drive vegetation die-offs, trigger landslides, and induce flooding. "The critical role of soil moisture in compound hazards"; https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-026-01936-z
Next study on the influence of large scale soil moisture gradients intensifying convective systems
Global warming is intensifying gradients of all kinds on an event based scale. And these intensifying or weakening gradients in a sector and systems then intensify extreme events.
#climate #extremes