Stable or variable distrust? Disentangling the relationship between political trust and electoral behavior | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core Stable or variable distrust? Disentangling the relationship between political trust and electoral behavior - Volume 18 Issue 1

18.1🌹

@cvalebeek.bsky.social @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social & @hakhverdian.bsky.social use survery data from the Netherlands to find that #Trust variability may be just as strong a predictor as #Trust levels in #VotingBehaviour 🗳️

Stable or variable distrust? Disentangling the relationship between political trust and electoral behavior | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core Stable or variable distrust? Disentangling the relationship between political trust and electoral behavior

What happens when #Trust becomes volatile? 💥

@cvalebeek.bsky.social @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social & @hakhverdian.bsky.social use survey data from the Netherlands 🇳🇱 to analyse how #VotingBehaviour is impacted by three key components of #PoliticalTrust.

Find out what they are 👉 📖

buff.ly/gT7AWxe

I do my best to buy & read LOTS of newspapers each week, but I can’t turn the tide single handed!

#r4today #newspapers #votingbehaviour

The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis

🆕 Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour

Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead.

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Constituency references in social media: MPs' usage and voters' reaction OLIVER HUWYLER, NATHALIE GIGER, STEFANIE BAILER, TOMAS TURNER-ZWINKELS, SILVAN HELLER

📘 64.4

🔥 MPs often invoke local cues in Tweets, especially during campaign periods, but these authors study finds no clear electoral reward. Local references don’t boost voters’ support or preference votes. 📊

#PoliSky #VotingBehaviour #OA

🗳️ Check election outcomes with advanced methods!

📢 Join Prof. Marco Steenbergen's "Understanding & Modeling Voting Behaviour" course at RECSM Summer School.

🔍 Essential for political scientists!

🔗 www.upf.edu/web/survey/2...

#VotingBehaviour #PoliticalScience #RECSM2025

3/9 Research shows authoritarian followers express anti-democratic attitudes including prejudice, nationalism, and belief in conspiracies. They were more likely to vote for Trump than Clinton or Biden in previous elections.
#VotingBehaviour #PoliticalPsychology

8/9 Critics like political sociologist Trevor Harrison argue strategic voting's effectiveness is overstated: "It's really complicated because you're trying to do all this in your head without actually having very much information" about local riding dynamics.
#ElectionStrategy #VotingBehaviour

6/9 Research shows only 7-12% of voters fit the "strategic" definition overall, but that small group can tip close races. They tend to come from smaller parties, with 20-35% of "non-viable" party supporters potentially engaging in strategic voting.
#VotingBehaviour #CDNpoli #ElectionAnalysis

Women were identified as key targets in the 2024 British GE

@profrosiecamp.bsky.social, Ceri Fowler, Anna Sanders & Rosalind Shorrocks assess speculation as to whether ‘Whitby’ or ‘Waitrose’ women swung the result for Labour

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

#Gendergap #votingbehaviour