Does Macron's nuclear upgrade mark the end of France's 'strict sufficiency' principle? Despite the increase, the underlying spirit of strict sufficiency—maintaining only what is necessary to protect France's vital interests—remains present in Macron's speech.

Read @csis.org's Astrid Chevreuil analysis in @thebulletin.org. (5/5)

#Macron #France #nuclearweapons #deterrence #nukesky @erep.csis.org

An overhead view of a submarine traveling on the surface of the ocean with a military jet flying nearby.

I asked @csis.org expert Astrid Chevreuil to assess whether Macron's announced increase in France's nuclear arsenal means abandoning its long-standing principle of "strict sufficiency." 👇 (1/5)

#Macron #France #nuclearweapons #deterrence #nukesky

From Containment to Prevention: The Trump-Netanyahu Alignment to Defeat Iran’s Jihad After decades of failed deterrence and diplomacy, Trump and Netanyahu are aligning to confront the ideological and military engine of the Islamic Republic.

From Containment to Prevention: The Trump-Netanyahu Alignment to Defeat #Iran’s #Jihad.

After #decades of #failed #deterrence and #diplomacy,
Trump and Netanyahu are aligning to confront the
ideological and military engine of the #Islamic #Republic.

Dr. Dan Diker

PEACE AND LOVE Why peace might just be an arrangement of restraint rather than the absence of danger

PEACE AND LOVE
randomboo.com/blog/peace-a...

Why peace might just be an arrangement of restraint rather than the absence of danger

#nuclear #deterrence #peace #freedom

Iran’s Ballistic Missiles: Capabilities, Performance, and Impact on War Trajectory - Stratheia Iran’s ballistic missile strikes reshape the Iran–Israel war, testing regional missile defenses and raising global energy and security risks.

Despite high interception rates, even a small number of successful missile strikes can cause significant damage and political pressure. This demonstrates the strategic logic behind saturation missile attacks.
#MilitaryStrategy #Deterrence #USIranWar
stratheia.com/irans-ballis...

What to Know: Deterrence and the Death Penalty | Death Penalty Information Center DPI’s ​“What to Know” series exam­ines cap­i­tal pun­ish­ment from mul­ti­ple angles, one top­ic at a time. Each install­ment pro­vides essen­tial facts...

What to Know: Deterrence and the Death Penalty #deathpenalty #deterrence deathpenaltyinfo.org/what-to-know...

#Defense #Dissuasion ☢️🇪🇺🇫🇷 #Europe #Deterrence
Une inflexion notable du périmètre est à l'œuvre. Elle préfigure une européanisation accrue.

Et, à titre personnel, je m'en félicite.

Macron Orders French Nuclear Expansion, Offers ‘Advanced Deterrence’ to European Allies At Île Longue, Macron orders more French nuclear warheads, ends arsenal transparency and proposes joint deterrence deployments with European partners.

Macron Orders French Nuclear Expansion, Offers ‘Advanced Deterrence’ to European Allies

#france #nuclear #europe #deterrence #macron

Donald Tusk: ‘ #Poland is in talks with #France and a group of closest European allies on the programme of advanced #nuclear #deterrence. We are arming up together with our friends so that our enemies will never dare to attack us.’

What Americans Get Completely Wrong About Iran YouTube video by Ask Raphaela

What Americans Get Completely Wrong About Iran

Video: youtu.be/xrLR30AZDCU

#Iran #IranIraqWar #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #AsymmetricWarfare #Deterrence #SecondStrike #MilitaryStrategy #ForeignPolicy #StraitOfHormuz #Hezbollah #PowerStructures

Israel After October 7: Victory, Survival & the West’s Cultural War | Dan Schueftan YouTube video by Quillette

Israel After #October7: Victory, Survival & #West’s #Cultural #War.
Prof. Dan Schueftan

From #Gaza’s deep-rooted #MuslimBrotherhood #ideology
to #Hezbollah’s position in #Lebanon &
#Iran’s #regional ambitions,
he outlines why #deterrence, not #diplomacy,
defines strategic horizon.

Strategic Signalling and Nuclear Diplomacy in the Strait of Hormuz - Stratheia Iran’s naval drills in the Strait of Hormuz signal coercive diplomacy amid nuclear talks, rattling global energy markets.

This is coercive diplomacy in action—using capability and geography to shape negotiations without triggering war, echoing ideas from Thomas Schelling.
#Deterrence #Strategy #USIran
stratheia.com/strategic-si...

Pakistan Is Not on the Menu, It Is Reshaping the Table - Stratheia Pakistan’s counterterror strategy shows structural consolidation, rising deterrence, and shrinking militant space.

Sanctuary is no longer immunity. Cross-border deterrence and intelligence-led disruptions are reshaping militant calculations.
#RegionalSecurity #Deterrence #Taliban
stratheia.com/pakistan-is-...

📄𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗣𝗨𝗕𝗟𝗜𝗖𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡 by Sven Biscop
@egmontinstitute.bsky.social

"A European War"

#EuropeanSecurity #Ukraine #EUDefence #NATOSecurity #Deterrence

𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 👉 tinyurl.com/5epu2kdu

Seven yellow jets fly in formation against a blue sky, representing the European Union flag and leaving yellow smoke trails behind them.

I learned a few things at the Munich Security Conference last week. (1/13) 👇

thebulletin.org/2026/02/euro...

#nuclearweapons #Europe #nukesky #deterrence #MSC2026 @munsecconf.bsky.social

North Korea Unveils New Rocket Launchers Capable of Hitting Seoul

defensemirror.com/news/41133/N...

#NorthKorea #KimJongUn #RocketLaunchers #600mmRockets #MilitaryModernization #Defense #Pyongyang #ShortRangeWeapons #MilitaryTechnology #NationalDefense #Deterrence #ArmedForces

#LetterOfTheWeek
#STForum: #Jailterm necessary as #deterrence matters in #careless #driving cases @straits_times
🧐"The consequences of an honest mistake can range fr financial loss to lives being upended.. When #death occurs, we need to just think of those left behind: someone losing a son, a […]

Event TODAY📢

YCAPS hosts Eyck Freymann discussing deterrence, technology, and industrial capacity in the Indo-Pacific

Co-moderated by Robert Dujarric and @marsecbradford.bsky.social

Register: www.ycaps.org/arsenal-of-d...

#BookTalk #IndoPacific #Deterrence #SecurityStudies #DefenseIndustry

US Iran Talks Continue Amid Middle East Military Buildup | 1Tak News US Iran Talks run parallel to increased US military deployment in the Middle East amid ongoing nuclear negotiations in Geneva.

US Iran Talks Continue as America Expands Military Presence in Middle East

#USIran #us #iran #MiddleEast #IranNuclear #GenevaTalks #USMilitary #FighterJets #Warships #RegionalTension #Deterrence #NuclearDeal #Geopolitics #Diplomacy

1tak.com/us-iran-talk...

Take-aways:
1. #Populists are not inherently pro–nuclear weapons.
2. Their support hinges on who controls the weapons and against whom they are used.
3. These findings have implications for #NATO’s #deterrence posture

The debate over a European nuclear deterrent is officially mainstream. Driven by a crisis of confidence in U.S. leadership, leaders like Merz and Macron are actively exploring how to integrate France's arsenal into a broader European security framework.2•1
#Deterrence #Europe #Security

Image from image_1.jpg

Israel aims to reduce Iran's threat capacity without seeking regime change, akin to its stance on Hezbollah. The U.S. strategy of large-scale military strikes is seen as unrealistic. Israel now prioritizes deterrence, confident in countering Iranian missile capabilities.

#Israel #Iran #Deterrence

ANALYSIS | From umbrella to uncertainty: Europe and Canada's nuclear deterrence anxiety | CBC News European allies are quietly exploring closer nuclear deterrence ties with France amid growing anxiety about the long-term reliability of U.S. security guarantees. Germany and Poland have acknowledged ...

#European allies are quietly exploring closer #nuclear #deterrence ties with #France amid growing anxiety about long-term reliability of US security guarantees. Germany and Poland have acknowledged early-stage talks with Paris ...
www.cbc.ca/news/politic...

Is AI the future of precision targeting in warfare? Joshua Geltzer shares his insights on the evolving role of AI in military strategies and the potential for it to surpass human capabilities.

Listen to the full conversation: tnsr.org/2025/11/ai-p....

#AI #Technology #Deterrence #DefensePolicy

Pentagon reportedly orders preparations for 2nd carrier strike group (USS Bush) for possible Middle East deployment. Critical nuance: this is deterrence by demonstration, not a war directive.
newsgroup.site/%d0%bf%d0%b5...
#geopolitics #strategy #deterrence

Bluff or Death? How to Assess Nuclear “Threats” YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment

Youtube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TED... #NukeSky #nuclearthreat #Deterrence

What Is the ‘Breaking Bad’ Effect and Is It Real? The Breaking Bad effect is the observed rise in criminal behavior after a serious health shock such as a cancer diagnosis. Peer-reviewed evidence indicates crime risk increases after diagnosis, with the study reporting roughly a 14 percent uptick in offending, affecting both first-time crimes and reoffending. The data suggest two main drivers: financial strain and weaker deterrence when survival odds fall, according to an American Economic Journal: Applied Economics study…

Can a life-changing diagnosis push people toward riskier choices—or even crime? We unpack the data behind the so-called 'Breaking Bad' effect. Is it real or just a catchy label? Weigh in. #BehavioralEconomics #BreakingBadEffect #CancerDiagnosis #Crime #Deterrence

Mark really is #deterrence all the way …!
Backward that is .

‘Intellectual Rearmament’ in the Third Nuclear Age - Policy Exchange Download Publication Online Reader Britain’s nuclear deterrent and strategy are configured for a strategic environment that no longer exists. Nuclear weapons have returned to the forefront of internat...

#NuclearWeapons #Deterrence #Armament #UK #Europe
‘Intellectual Rearmament’ in the Third Nuclear Age
policyexchange.org.uk/publication/...
[ #OpenSource - PDF available]

[...]
To meet the demands of this more dangerous, multipolar era, Britain must do more than modernise hardware. It must ...