WIRED Meta’s former chief AI scientist has long argued that human-level AI will come from mastering the physical world, not language. His new startup, AMI, plans to prove it.

#AMILabs is pursuing #AI that learns from #reality rather than text patterns. Instead of predicting the next word in a sentence, a #WorldModel would predict how the world actually works; it would "#understand" #causality instead of just correlation. www.facebook.com/wired/posts/...

General Relativity’s Predictive Limits: Cauchy Horizons, Closed Timelike Curves, and the Case Against Global Determinism Physicist and host Curt Jaimungal argues that Einstein’s general relativity, while locally predictive, is not globally deterministic due to failures of global hyperbolicity, the presence of Cauchy horizons, and spacetimes with closed timelike curves. He outlines how certain valid solutions to the Einstein field equations permit multiple, inequivalent future extensions from identical initial data, undermining the notion that the past uniquely fixes the future.

General relativity can be locally predictive but fail globally: Cauchy horizons and closed timelike curves let identical initial data evolve into multiple inequivalent futures, challenging the idea of global determinism. #GR #Causality #Determinism

Trumble’s Ontology of Truth & Liberation TIFEOntology — No Myth. No Dogma. Just Precise Seeing.

Causality is neither purpose nor mechanism.
TIFEO proposes a third position: emergent regularity.
Not designed. Not mechanical.
Simply the consistent behavior of interacting patterns.
TIFEO Day 6. trumbletruth.com
#philosophy #consciousness #TIFEO #causality

At last, the big day arrived… LATE!

BEE3072 Econometrics: Cause and Effect

@exeter.ac.uk @uofebusiness.bsky.social

#heterogeneity #instruments #IV #causality #compliers #LATE #independence #relevance #exclusion #monotonicity

Especially relevant (it seems to me) should be pages 40-57.

Sample screenshots attached. 👇

#discrimination #causality

Why AI needs a new philosophy of science?

Read the new paper at The Innovation:

lnkd.in/edYmdDuE

and with a short layman's story in Spanish here:

lnkd.in/ej97iVRP

#AI #ethics #trustworthiness #science #causality #reasoning

@elliot-eu.bsky.social
@erc.europa.eu

Do we really still have to say 'correlation is not causality'? I'm a big fan of the BBC - but sadly I say this more often than not to temper a criticism. In the past I've p ointed out confirmation bias ...

If there is one thing that scientists and science writers alike get fed up of saying it's that correlation is not causality. Yet what do we find on the BBC Top Comment podcast? Sigh... brianclegg.blogspot.com/2026/03/do-w... #podcasts #causality #assumptions

A quotation from **Emerson**

> Cause and Effect, the chancellors of God.

**Ralph Waldo Emerson** (1803-1882) American essayist, lecturer, poet
Essay (1841), “Self-Reliance,” _Essays: First Series_ , No. 2

* * *

More about this quote: wist.info/emerson-ralph-waldo/…

#quote #quotes #quotation […]

"Mediators, confounders, colliders – a crash course in causal inference"
by Florian Hartig (2019): theoreticalecology.wordpress.com/2019/04/14/mediators-con...

#offPolicy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals […]

CMH models causes, not triggers. We can identify dry tinder. We cannot predict which spark will ignite it.

This isn't a limitation. It's honesty about what science can and cannot do.

#ComputationalSocialScience #History #Prediction #Causality

Yeah Y'all know what this is.

#Zajey #Science #Research #ScientificMethod #SystemsThinking #Causality #CausalInference #DecisionScience #ComplexityScience #ComplexSystems #NonlinearDynamics #ChaosTheory #Probability #Statistics #Uncertainty #RiskAnalysis #Modeling #Inference
2/2

Causality, learning and Software In Einstein's Special Relativity, time sets a frontier to pass information to observers (causality). Time is the way to allow causality, learning is a consequence of causality and time.

"Every generation rediscovers Waterfall." 🌊

AI promises complex systems in seconds, but at a cost: we lose the causal chain of learning.

From Einstein to the Halting Problem, here is why learning needs time:

javil.substack.com/p/causality-... 📖

#AI #SoftwareEngineering #Causality #Learning

εφαγα καυτερο κοτοπουλο jackaroo και τωρα παραγω φυσικο μεθανιο σαν να ημουν ρωσος ολιγαρχης #causality

📢 Seasonal School “Causal Methods for Economics” (Ph.D.-level)

🗓 June 8–12, 2026 | Pisa
💰 Free participation + accommodation
🎤 Keynotes: Scott Cunningham, Daniel Lewis, Federica Russo
⏰ Deadline: April 8, 2026

👉 www.santannapisa.it/it/formazion...

#CausalInference #EconPhD #Econsky #causality

#CausalInference using #DAGs in #mixedmethodsresearch @gesistraining.bsky.social 👇

#sociology #polsci #causality

2/2 Jerusalem has a #techbro Transhumanism Test Lab for those too terrified of death and dying (like Scomo) who're too Ego-syntonic to be able to comprehend #consciousness #causality #reincarnation #psychics et al, without believing he's a messiah #Auspol 2/2 bsky.app/profile/pepp...

Continuum fanart. "Continuum: Causality" With logo. Starring Rachel Nichols as Kiera Cameron (left) and Robbie Kay as Sam Cameron (right).

Continuum fanart. "Continuum: Causality" Without logo. Starring Rachel Nichols as Kiera Cameron (left) and Robbie Kay as Sam Cameron (right).

Stardate: 2026.1.23 - "Continuum: Causality"

It's been 15 years since Kiera Cameron arrived in a better future her friends worked hard to build but now she aims to protect it from invading forces from another timeline.
#RachelNichols #KieraCameron #Continuum #Causality #Fanart

☸️ ➿ #Structures and #interconnections – When #causality is no longer sufficient ↩️

What if we have been looking for #phenomena in the wrong place for years?

📺 youtu.be/TPCADLkSBWM

📎 philosophies.de/index.php/20...

#Zoomposium #WalterVonLucadou #StructuralRealism #Consciousness #QuantumPhysics

Just two weeks until the deadline of our @iclr-conf.bsky.social workshop on the intersection of #XAI, #causality and #NeSy 💥💥💥

More details here ucrl-iclr26.github.io/call-for-pap...

Causal Graph Interface Create, query, and modify causal graphs. 'caugi' (Causal Graph Interface) is a causality-first, high performance graph package that provides a simple interface to build, structure, and examine causal relationships.

If you're working with causal graphs in R, then take a look at caugi, which is an R package by Frederik Fabricius Bjerre that I supervised the making of. It's blazing fast (built in Rust) and intuitive to work with.

https://caugi.org/

#causality #r #graphs

What if causality itself isn’t fundamental but emerges from a pre-physical void?

Starting with no spacetime, no time, no matter… and still saw a stable causal structure form.

Read the full paper: doi.org/10.5281/zeno...

#Emergence #ComplexSystems #Causality #TheoreticalPhysics

We reinvent a wheel. Now, #contextgraphs are a booming topic, but it is an old concept: #explainability + #auditlog.
In practice, we need much more than decision traces - we need #causality - how these decision traces impact the results and how the agent could learn from experience.
#ai #agenticai

The Key to World Building for D&D YouTube video by Pointy Hat

Pointy Hat: "The Key to World Building for D&D" | #TipOfTheHat #TTRPG #GameDesign #WorldBuilding #Writing #WritingTips #Conflict #Threat #Goal #Causality #Nations #Races #Deities
www.youtube.com/watch?v=zemR...

We’re excited to share that we've been named a 2025 Intellyx Digital Innovator Award winner 🎉

This recognition reinforces why causal reasoning matters in reliability engineering.

Read the brain candy brief:
intellyx.com/2025/12/01/c...

#DigitalInnovation #ReliabilityEngineering #Causality

A fantastic opportunity to join us in #Amsterdam for some hardcore #uncertainty in #AI 🦾🚲🌷✖️✖️✖️

#causality #tractable #probabilistic #models #neurosymbolic #imprecise #probabilities #statistical #methods and more

The Effect: Describing Variables & Describing Relationships (effect01 3 4) YouTube video by Data Science Learning Community Videos

From the DSLC.io aRchives:

🔵 The Effect: Describing Variables & Describing Relationships youtu.be/v2xR2RcAjOo

Visit dslc.video for hours of new #DataScience videos every week!

#dataBS #RStats #causal #causality

Blowing Trumpets, Lights On - Hank Green and Alex O Connor

#explanation #causality

about to turn my mind into pudding / 420mg Δ9 / better living though chemistry

#absurdism #existentialism #causality #emergence #complexsystems #consciousness #philosophyoflife #stochastic #cosmiccoincidence #chaosandorder #mindbending #latecapitalism […]

[Original post on mastodon.social]

Yesterday I gave a keynote at the #Causality for Impact workshop at #EurIPS in Copenhagen. We discussed key barriers to real-world impact in #CausalAI — spanning ML, representation learning & discovery. Thanks to Ruth Keogh, Gustau Camps-Valls & the fantastic organizers!
impact-25.causal.dev

The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality: Matching (effect01 14) YouTube video by Data Science Learning Community Videos

From the DSLC.io aRchives:

🔵 The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality: Matching youtu.be/bD20P1XPgNk

Visit dslc.video for hours of new #DataScience videos every week!

#dataBS #RStats #causal #causality